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Saturday, April 19, 2025

2022: Fauquier County aging and government transfer dependency trends

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, Fauquier County received $708.9 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $9,494 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 11.5% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a slight increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 8.6% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 2.9%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Fauquier County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $288.6 million (40.7% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $170.8 million (24.1%)—played a significant role in the county's overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $2,887 in 2012 and $834 in 1970 to $3,865 in 2022, reflecting a 33.9% increase over the past decade and a 363.4% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $1,635 in 2012 and $155 in 1970 to $2,287, marking 39.9% and 1,375.5% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 17.4% of the total population, compared to 13.8% in 2012 and 9.6% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Fauquier County excluding public assistance amounted to $73,377 per capita in 2022, compared to $82,872 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $115.8 million, a 16.3% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $48 million, or 6.8% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Fauquier County's reliance on government transfers decreased by 1.8%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Fauquier County, 2022
Social Security Transfers [40.7%]Medicare Transfers [24.1%]Medicaid Transfers [16.3%]Income Maintenance Transfers [6.8%]

2022 Virginia County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers

CountyState Rank (Per Capita Transfers)Dependency on Transfers (%)% Population 65+Social Security Transfers (%)Medicare Transfers (%)Medicaid Transfers (%)Income Maintenance Transfers (%)Per Capita Transfers ($)
Buchanan County144.68%24.25%35.6%20.8%25%12%$20,234
Dickenson County248.72%24.55%33.6%24.3%24.8%10.2%$19,994
Northampton County330.94%29.9%31.1%21.1%30.6%10.1%$19,870
Northumberland County430.69%37.22%41.8%30.9%13.6%6.7%$18,848
Wise + Norton County545.13%19.97%31.8%21.5%25.1%11.6%$18,549
Lancaster County625.57%38.57%45.9%24.1%15.2%7.4%$18,546
Henry + Martinsville County738.42%24.78%30.8%22.6%28.4%11%$18,234
Lee County846.96%23.18%29.2%18.9%30.9%13.3%$18,105
Carroll + Galax County940.11%26.4%29.7%22.7%31.2%9.2%$17,957
Middlesex County1029.66%33%40%25.9%17.8%7.3%$17,882
Alleghany + Covington County1138%26.18%32.6%24.5%22.7%9.3%$17,584
Nelson County1226.9%29.5%39.3%26.7%18.6%7.3%$17,399
Dinwiddie County1337.91%19.2%24.3%23.1%28.5%12.1%$17,388
Tazewell County1439.31%23.56%34.2%22.8%20.7%10.9%$17,291
Russell County1542.99%23.71%34.3%23.4%23.4%11.2%$17,290
Mathews County1625.34%32.57%40.3%26.4%18%5.9%$17,198
Bath County1722.94%29.72%36.6%31.1%16.9%6.8%$17,143
Mecklenburg County1837.43%27%34.7%24.5%23%9.8%$17,040
Charlotte County1937.5%22.68%31.3%26.5%22.9%10.7%$16,976
Pittsylvania + Danville County2037.73%24.74%30.5%20.9%29.2%11.5%$16,975
Brunswick County2141.14%22.31%28.1%21.2%31%11.2%$16,903
Halifax County2237.72%25.8%32.4%21.4%27.5%10.8%$16,787
Nottoway County2337.34%18.51%24.8%20.1%35.8%10.2%$16,770
Scott County2441.79%25.35%34.3%24.6%23.7%10.4%$16,552
Essex County2531.97%24.33%34.5%25.9%21.8%10.5%$16,528
Smyth County2636.95%22.86%33%23.1%25.3%11.6%$16,428
Patrick County2739.49%27.34%34.9%23.7%22.5%9.9%$15,903
Accomack County2829.13%25.99%34.2%23.2%23.7%11.1%$15,776
Southampton + Franklin County2931.31%22.12%30.1%21.3%29.4%11.4%$15,739
Giles County3031.27%22.26%34.4%25%23.1%8.9%$15,487
Roanoke (Independent City) County3130.21%17.88%25.1%19.5%30.6%13.1%$15,349
Greensville + Emporia County3239%16.52%27%20.1%33.5%13%$15,317
Wythe County3334.16%22.29%34.5%25%21.7%9.9%$15,223
Bland County3435.48%25.53%38.6%24.5%19.3%6.7%$15,123
Washington + Bristol County3532%24.7%36.9%23.9%19.9%10.2%$14,979
Grayson County3638.12%25.87%37.4%20.3%25%9.8%$14,843
Surry County3728.3%25.69%37.4%21.9%21.4%9.5%$14,837
Westmoreland County3829.28%27.53%36.3%26.4%18.5%10.1%$14,822
Campbell + Lynchburg County3932.58%21.47%28%19.6%29.5%9.8%$14,798
Highland County4029%38.24%47.2%23.5%14%5.7%$14,651
Pulaski County4130.37%23.38%36.6%22.4%23.5%9.7%$14,611
Charles City County4225.48%26.98%41.6%20.6%21.7%8.5%$14,560
Amherst County4332.41%22.16%35.2%24%23.6%9.3%$14,496
King and Queen County4426.11%24.2%38.3%22.6%21.2%9.8%$14,439
Sussex County4538.17%19.46%30%23%28.3%11.6%$14,413
Portsmouth (Independent City) County4631.25%15.35%22.9%18.3%31.3%14.8%$14,382
Appomattox County4730.77%21%33.3%22.8%24.8%10.8%$14,139
Floyd County4828.65%24.66%37.4%22.7%22%8.3%$14,012
Prince Edward County4935.23%16.85%29.2%24.4%25.2%10.9%$13,925
Lunenburg County5035.7%23.57%33.1%19.4%26.4%12.2%$13,916
Franklin County5126.4%24.82%38.8%21.7%19.8%8.8%$13,880
Franklin County5226.4%24.82%38.8%21.7%19.8%8.8%$13,880
Page County5328.2%22.43%36.9%24.8%20.5%9.2%$13,840
Buckingham County5436.49%20.51%29.2%28.6%25%10.8%$13,823
Amelia County5525.8%21.15%36%23.8%22.1%9.1%$13,668
Craig County5628.76%25%40%21.2%18.7%8.9%$13,628
Orange County5722.86%20.48%37.1%27%15%7.8%$13,473
Cumberland County5828.87%23.58%34.1%15.4%31.3%12.6%$13,408
Hampton (Independent City) County5927.63%16.57%27.1%18.1%23.5%12.2%$13,406
James City + Williamsburg County6017.4%26.69%42.3%27.1%8%5.6%$13,205
Bedford County6123.6%23.21%41%23.4%16.6%7.2%$12,940
Bedford County6223.6%23.21%41%23.4%16.6%7.2%$12,940
Rockbridge County6326.74%27.49%38.7%23.6%18.8%8.6%$12,931
Suffolk (Independent City) County6421.11%15.26%27.1%19.2%23.6%10.4%$12,831
Botetourt County6521.54%24.11%41%23.8%15.1%6.3%$12,819
Richmond County6630%21.72%34.9%23.4%23.6%10.7%$12,814
Richmond County6730%21.72%34.9%23.4%23.6%10.7%$12,814
Gloucester County6822.16%21%36.5%23.1%16.9%8.3%$12,743
Shenandoah County6922.31%22.15%38.2%24.8%19.4%9%$12,657
Roanoke + Salem County7021.31%22.11%39.9%26.6%15.5%6.8%$12,598
Isle of Wight County7119.53%20%36.8%22.2%16.7%7.9%$12,467
Richmond (Independent City) County7217.45%14.1%23%17.8%38.2%13.3%$12,417
Augusta County7323.38%22.57%39.5%24%19%9%$12,368
Norfolk (Independent City) County7425.44%13%21.8%16.5%31.7%13.9%$12,186
Newport News (Independent City) County7525.53%14%25.7%18.3%25.1%14.9%$11,968
Louisa County7623.58%21%39.1%23.4%19.6%8.9%$11,963
Rappahannock County7714.81%28.89%49.2%23.2%11.4%6.8%$11,764
Caroline County7822.64%17.14%33.3%24.1%20.5%10.8%$11,660
Madison County7920.41%23.19%39.1%22.2%21.4%8.6%$11,540
Clarke County8014.79%23%43.5%26.5%13.6%5.6%$11,532
Goochland County819.84%24.54%50.6%23%10.4%5.3%$11,441
Prince George + Hopewell County8228.48%13.24%29.4%19.6%22.7%13.4%$11,315
King William County8320.5%17%38.3%25.2%18.2%8.6%$11,196
Warren County8419.92%17.27%34.8%24.7%21%9.5%$11,183
New Kent County8510.85%18.44%41.1%27.6%10.4%6.2%$11,160
Culpeper County8619.35%16.76%35.6%23.4%21.1%9.4%$10,828
Fluvanna County8720.28%21.45%44.4%23.9%14%7.5%$10,816
Virginia Beach (Independent City) County8816.29%15.91%32%19.7%16.1%8.7%$10,750
Chesapeake (Independent City) County8918.28%14.47%30.1%19.5%17.5%9.7%$10,688
Greene County9020.58%19%37.7%22.3%19%9.7%$10,623
Henrico County9113.48%17%37.2%23%20.7%10.8%$10,380
Spotsylvania + Fredericksburg County9216.4%15.23%31.3%21.8%19.2%10.1%$10,267
Hanover County9314.19%19.24%44.1%27.2%12.9%6.3%$10,262
Frederick + Winchester County9416.48%18.75%38.9%23%18.8%9.1%$10,260
Chesterfield County9515.9%16%37.6%22.7%17.9%9.2%$10,184
Powhatan County9614.52%19.97%47.5%24.8%11.4%6%$9,860
York + Poquoson County9714.32%17.7%39.4%19.8%9.7%7%$9,728
Albemarle + Charlottesville County9810.45%20.54%41%22.7%18.1%8.3%$9,527
Rockingham + Harrisonburg County9918.45%20.15%36.8%24.6%18.6%10.1%$9,496
Fauquier County10011.46%17.41%40.7%24.1%16.3%6.8%$9,494
King George County10114.79%14.38%30.9%23.5%16.3%9.1%$9,471
Stafford County10213.88%11.43%27%18.1%14.2%9%$9,052
Montgomery + Radford County10318.34%14%34.9%22.7%19.2%9.6%$8,323
Alexandria (Independent City) County1047.35%13%30.8%20.1%20.2%11.1%$7,739
Fairfax County1057.62%15%35.9%21.5%15.2%8.2%$7,726
Fairfax County1067.62%15%35.9%21.5%15.2%8.2%$7,726
Prince William County10712%11.28%28.9%18%19%11.8%$7,645
Arlington County1085.42%12%34%21.5%17.9%8.9%$6,090
Loudoun County1095.71%10.8%37%22.5%13%8.9%$5,534

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